Can Coles & Woolies Survive Amazon’s Australian Arrival?

Can Coles & Woolies Survive Amazon’s Australian Arrival?
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With Amazon finally announcing its plans for the Australian market a new study has found the online behemoth may not be a shoe-in when it comes to the grocery side of the business due to Aussies’ reluctance to buy their groceries online.

 A study by Roy Morgan Research has found that although interest in buying groceries online was high (some 30 per cent of respondents), the fact was as little as three per cent of us actually do it.

So despite positive sentiment for the idea, shopping for groceries online still remains niche in Australia. The question is -will the introduction of high-speed grocery delivery service AmazonFresh change that?

News that Woolworths has established a special task force to address this threat is no surprise: Woolworths customers are marginally more likely to do their grocery shopping online (4.2 per cent doing so in an average four weeks) than those who mainly shop at Coles (4 per cent), ALDI (1.4 per cent) or IGA (1.2 per cent).

Supermarket customers who buy groceries online vs those who’d consider it

7223-chart

 

 

That said, grocery-buyers who mainly shop at Coles are more likely to consider doing some of their grocery shopping on the internet in the next 12 months (32.1 per cent) than those who mainly shop at Woolworths (30.6 per cent), ALDI (28.5 pr cent) and IGA (19.6 per cent).

But does this mean that the local supermarket scene is going to be destroyed? Not necessarily. Roy Morgan’s recent Retail-focused State of the Nation report highlighted certain industry trends that may well work in supermarkets’ favour, even once Amazon hits town.

  • As mentioned, the long-standing gap between consumers who say they’d shop for groceries online and those who actually do it suggests that immediate mass uptake of AmazonFresh is unlikely.
  • Australians are making more visits to bricks-and-mortar stores, at least partly due to the growing ‘retailtainment’ trend, whereby their shopping experience is enhanced with an extra entertainment element. Savvy supermarkets are already tapping into this with such add-ons as in-store cafés, tastings or cooking demonstrations: something an online grocery service cannot compete with.

Commenting on the findings, Roy Morgan CEO, Michele Levine, said: “Online grocery shopping is not widespread in Australia yet, but the arrival of AmazonFresh looks set to up the ante with its quick-delivery, low-priced service.

“It’s worth noting that customers who mainly shop at Coles or Woolworths are more likely than the average grocery buyer to be Technology Early Adopters, and as such, more open to radical new e-commerce propositions such as AmazonFresh.

“But the threat of AmazonFresh is not just about technology, it’s about competitive pricing, service and real estate. With heated price wars already characterising the current Australian supermarket scene, a new player of this magnitude will undoubtedly appeal to grocery shoppers, especially when Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos has already declared, ‘Your margin is our opportunity’.

“Meanwhile, as traditional supermarkets reduce the range of brands they stock in favour of a greater selection of home brands, the sheer diversity of brands available on AmazonFresh may also appeal to shoppers.

“The incumbents, however, have the advantage of physical locations within easy reach of every shopper. Although Amazon is venturing into the offline space, with its first cashier-less, bricks-and-mortar Amazon Go grocery store currently operating in beta-mode in Seattle, it remains some way off rolling out these stores in Australia. This advantage will buffer local supermarkets while they gauge and respond to the impact of AmazonFresh’s arrival.”

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